Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 3.308844 3.502132 3.708063 3.945083 4.212007 4.505318 4.854825
2025-08-24 2.983259 3.243607 3.535863 3.892702 4.323109 4.834553 5.503136
2025-08-31 2.765728 3.067142 3.419052 3.869190 4.444015 5.176102 6.222015
2025-09-07 2.585778 2.909797 3.299439 3.816254 4.507628 5.442259 6.891928
2025-09-14 2.434542 2.770340 3.183475 3.747496 4.531492 5.647331 7.514432
2025-09-21 2.300113 2.639637 3.064743 3.658400 4.509518 5.774417 8.038972
2025-09-28 2.214269 2.563095 3.007771 3.643643 4.586092 6.055923 8.906940
2025-10-05 2.202113 2.578844 3.071030 3.798562 4.929977 6.828721 11.035214
2025-10-12 2.155727 2.545631 3.064163 3.849723 5.117338 7.374884 13.010835
2025-10-19 2.109721 2.509552 3.049708 3.886379 5.283556 7.919985 15.405429
2025-10-26 2.083905 2.498785 3.069114 3.974937 5.549195 8.738062 19.564775
2025-11-02 2.029555 2.445574 3.023641 3.956294 5.619385 9.153491 22.922623
2025-11-09 1.941525 2.346080 2.911701 3.832652 5.500027 9.148268 24.736823
2025-11-16 1.874313 2.273708 2.836941 3.765864 5.484548 9.409939 28.895515
2025-11-23 1.821811 2.219943 2.787005 3.736395 5.538930 9.880487 36.633147
2025-11-30 1.767424 2.161145 2.726271 3.683650 5.539340 10.211031 45.936114
2025-12-07 1.713802 2.101306 2.660919 3.617926 5.504244 10.432140 57.264861
2025-12-14 1.659355 2.038332 2.587919 3.533881 5.420268 10.480149 68.287073
2025-12-21 1.624936 2.003171 2.556096 3.519805 5.486055 11.050208 115.635815
2025-12-28 1.628511 2.023411 2.611076 3.664769 5.932335 13.273394 NaN
2026-01-04 1.610409 2.010672 2.612976 3.712552 6.163469 14.910190 NaN
2026-01-11 1.590487 1.994333 2.608052 3.746778 6.368754 16.684629 NaN
2026-01-18 1.580970 1.993181 2.627523 3.829432 6.719262 19.841840 NaN